January 27, 2026

Valuation Insights in Spain 2025

We are pleased to share the December 2025 edition of Valuation Insights in Spain, a detailed analysis of key market trends and developments shaping valuation practices in Spain and in Europe.

This report explores topics such as EV/EBITDA multiples in M&A transactions, industry performance comparisons across the S&P Europe 350 Index and U.S. (S&P 500), and shifts in equity investment risks.

Over the past year, the valuation gap between Europe and the U.S. has widened further. U.S. multiples remain elevated, driven by a small group of large-cap companies and pushing the implied market risk premium near record lows. Europe, by contrast, continues to trade closer to historical averages, attracting renewed capital flows. Sector dispersion has also grown: Financials, Utilities and Industrials led performance, while Consumer-focused sectors lagged and Health Care remains the only segment below last year’s levels.

These dynamics carry important implications for valuations. With risk premia tightening, especially in the U.S., the margin for mispricing is shrinking and reinforces the need for fundamentals-based valuation assessments. Europe still offers a positive spread over risk-free rates, while relative value is increasingly driven by earnings momentum rather than broad multiple expansion. Maintaining disciplined earnings expectations and monitoring will be essential, particularly for companies with significant U.S. exposure.

 

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Previous Reports:

2024

As of September 2024, EV/EBITDA multiples paid in both M&A transactions and trading small caps (S&P Europe Small Cap) present an implied discount compared to higher capitalization trading companies (S&P Europe 350). This particular situation confirms investors' preference in recent years for large-cap companies given the current macroeconomic situation

Authors

Jeronimo Blazquez

Director
FOLLOW & CONNECT WITH A&M